Archive for the ‘Featured’ category

Play of the Week

December 7th, 2009

PLAY OF THE WEEK

It looks like the market is on the verge of heading higher and one stock that could follow it up is Lancaster Colony Corp. (LANC).

Lancaster Colony Corporation is a diversified manufacturer and marketer of consumer products focusing primarily on specialty foods for the retail and foodservice markets. It also manufactures and markets candles and glassware.

The Company’s frozen specialty noodles and pastas are marketed under the brand names Reames and Aunt Vi’s; croutons and related products are marketed under the brand names New York BRAND, Texas Toast, Chatham Village, Cardini’s and T. Marzetti, and caviar is marketed under the brand name Romanoff. The Company sells candles, candle accessories, and other home fragrance products in different sizes, forms and fragrance in retail markets, mass merchants, supermarkets, drug stores and specialty shops under the Candle-lite brand name.

On Friday, LANC produced one of our favorite buy signals on its chart: a bullish MACD crossover. Usually this signal means the stock is headed higher in the near-term. Based on this buy signal, we can see the Consumer Goods company trading up to $52 a share within the next 30-to-60 days; up from its Friday, December 4th close of $49.31.

The 52 week high is $53.41. If the stock manages to breakthrough to new highs, we see no reason why it cannot meet its consensus target price of $57.67. Fundamentally, we can see the stock getting there. It only trades at 12.87 times next year’s earnings and with a Return on Equity that Warren Buffet would love of 27.34%.

And you will be paid a CD like dividend rate of 2.3% while it gets there. The dividend at times is fairly good indicator of the strength of a company’s financial heartbeat. Check this out – LANC has raised its dividend 47 years in a row. Yeah, you read that right – 47 years in a row.

With a measly beta of .39%, LANC is appropriate for investors seeking low volatility. Overall, we love Lancaster Colony for total return (dividend + capital gains) investors and can see LANC producing total gains in the 12.5%-17.5% range during the next 9-to-12 months.

Play of the Week

November 12th, 2009

Shoe Carnival (SCVL) will report earnings before the market opens on Thursday, November 19.

Shoe Carnival is a leading retailer of family footwear. Each store offers a wide selection of both name brand and private label merchandise. Contests, games, neon signs, flashing lights and up-tempo music produce an energized shopping atmosphere.

SCVL is expected to earn 30 cents for its 3rd quarter. We expect the Shoe Store to announce earnings that will beat investors’ and analysts’ expectations. We anticipate seeing earnings closer to 32 cents – or a 2 cent upside surprise.

Shoe Carnival has performed well as of late around its earnings announcements. Four of the last 7 quarterly reports have seen the company’s shares rise by double digits. Five of seven times the stock gained in price.

The timing for the earnings news could be right for investors as share have dipped as of late, giving the stock plenty of room to move. In addition, Stockcharts.com free Point & Figure technical analysis has a bullish price objective of more than $23 per share.

We believe trading SCVL for earnings is appropriate for high risk investors only.

USD/JPY, AUD/JPY Flows – yen crosses up with equity rebound. US auto sales strong

November 3rd, 2009

Published at 23:14 (GMT) 03 Nov All quiet on the Yen front so far in Asia Pacific trade after yesterday’s Japanese holiday, with as yet no sign that the scaling back of RBA rate hike expectations after a less hawkish than expeceted communiqué is prompting a pull back in short yen positions beyond what we saw in the post-RBA Asia and European morning sessions. The recovery in equities, led by news of Berkshire Hathaway’s $26bn purchase of one of the largest US railroad company’s, BNSF and which